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642 abio10 pgtw 011800 msgid/genadmin/navmarfcstcen Pearl Harbor hi/jtwc// subj/significant tropical weather advisory for the Indian /Ocean/011800z-021800zdec2008// rmks/ 1. North Indian Ocean area (Malay Peninsula west to coast of Africa): a. Tropical cyclone summary: none. B. Tropical disturbance summary: (1) the area of convection previously located near 3.0n 92.8e has remained quasi-stationary over the past 24 hours, approximately 810 nm east-southeast of Colombo, Sri Lanka. Recent animated multi- spectral imagery and a 011052z ssmis microwave pass show limited deep convection loosely rotating around a broad and poorly defined low level circulation center (LLCC). A 011213z Quikscat image showed a weak, broad LLCC with 10-15 knot unflagged winds. The system remains fairly disorganized despite favorable diffluence aloft and moderate vertical wind shear. Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 10 to 15 knots and minimum sea level pressure at 1008 mb. The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains poor. (2) no other suspect areas. 2. South Indian Ocean area (135e west to coast of Africa): a. Tropical cyclone summary: none. B. Tropical disturbance summary: none. Forecast team: Charlie//

642

abio10 pgtw 011800
msgid/genadmin/navmarfcstcen Pearl Harbor hi/jtwc//
subj/significant tropical weather advisory for the Indian
/Ocean/011800z-021800zdec2008//
rmks/
1. North Indian Ocean area (Malay Peninsula west to coast of Africa):
a. Tropical cyclone summary: none.
B. Tropical disturbance summary:
(1) the area of convection previously located near 3.0n 92.8e
has remained quasi-stationary over the past 24 hours, approximately
810 nm east-southeast of Colombo, Sri Lanka. Recent animated multi-
spectral imagery and a 011052z ssmis microwave pass show limited deep
convection loosely rotating around a broad and poorly defined low level
circulation center (LLCC). A 011213z Quikscat image showed a weak,
broad LLCC with 10-15 knot unflagged winds. The system remains fairly
disorganized despite favorable diffluence aloft and moderate vertical
wind shear. Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 10 to 15
knots and minimum sea level pressure at 1008 mb. The potential for
the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24
hours remains poor.
(2) no other suspect areas.
2. South Indian Ocean area (135e west to coast of Africa):
a. Tropical cyclone summary: none.
B. Tropical disturbance summary: none.
Forecast team: Charlie//